Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.030917 0.035959 0.041507 0.048059 0.055576 0.063922 0.073885
2025-10-12 0.024264 0.031059 0.039219 0.049706 0.062796 0.078558 0.098940
2025-10-19 0.018528 0.025813 0.035257 0.048328 0.065868 0.088503 0.119823
2025-10-26 0.014824 0.022270 0.032600 0.047853 0.069657 0.099524 0.143321
2025-11-02 0.011844 0.019060 0.029708 0.046379 0.071594 0.108017 0.164237
2025-11-09 0.009690 0.016610 0.027411 0.045244 0.073624 0.116613 0.186062
2025-11-16 0.008248 0.014980 0.026040 0.045199 0.077119 0.127568 0.212447
2025-11-23 0.006895 0.013234 0.024168 0.043989 0.078468 0.135167 0.234240
2025-11-30 0.006298 0.012697 0.024221 0.045970 0.085261 0.152155 0.272954
2025-12-07 0.005522 0.011685 0.023267 0.046000 0.088607 0.163629 0.303473
2025-12-14 0.004690 0.010413 0.021629 0.044511 0.088971 0.169866 0.325382
2025-12-21 0.004108 0.009543 0.020622 0.044056 0.091141 0.179451 0.354124
2025-12-28 0.003881 0.009402 0.021074 0.046592 0.099463 0.201410 0.408341
2026-01-04 0.003592 0.009075 0.021092 0.048247 0.106242 0.221160 0.460425
2026-01-11 0.003101 0.008194 0.019794 0.046934 0.106779 0.228806 0.489718
2026-01-18 0.002743 0.007564 0.018951 0.046486 0.109058 0.240119 0.527411
2026-01-25 0.002372 0.006829 0.017753 0.045058 0.109011 0.246605 0.555789
2026-02-01 0.002072 0.006220 0.016758 0.043957 0.109532 0.254291 0.587367
2026-02-08 0.001867 0.005830 0.016238 0.043915 0.112462 0.267421 0.631833
2026-02-15 0.001633 0.005313 0.015315 0.042738 0.112554 0.274252 0.663053
2026-02-22 0.001561 0.005256 0.015593 0.044667 0.120403 0.299379 0.737719
2026-03-01 0.001419 0.004957 0.015170 0.044696 0.123526 0.313869 0.789298
2026-03-08 0.001240 0.004505 0.014248 0.043246 0.122703 0.318950 0.819328